Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.