Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.