Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.