Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg

May 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Cars Jeans Stadion

ADO Den Haag
1 - 2
Excelsior

(SBV Excelsior win 9-2 on aggregate)

Veerman (71')
van der Sande (30'), Ideho (41'), Asante (51'), Waem (68'), Esajas (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Driouech (16'), Duijvestijn (23')
Lamprou (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 De Graafschap
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: ADO Den Haag 1-3 SBV Excelsior

Although ADO Den Haag will have the belief that they can overcome their higher-ranked opponents, conceding four times in the quarters does not bode well. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to show their superior class and come through with an away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	SBV Excelsior
60.77% ( 0.03)	20.11% ( 0.02)	19.12% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.13% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.1% (

-0.2)

35.91% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.01% (

-0.22)

57.99% (

0.22)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.52% (

-0.05)

11.48% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.67% (

-0.11)

36.33% (

0.11)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

-0.17)

32.07% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

-0.2)

68.54% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 60.77%

SBV Excelsior 19.12%

Draw 20.11%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.77%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.12%