Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 1st Leg

May 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 3
ADO Den Haag

(ADO Den Haag win 5-4 on aggregate)

Buttner (13'), Fortes (90+7' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Absalem (30'), van Mieghem (58'), Schalk (66')
Waem (27'), Esajas (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between De Graafschap and ADO Den Haag.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 2-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Jong PSV
Friday, May 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	ADO Den Haag
47.92%	22.76%	29.32%

Both teams to score 63.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5%

37.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.28%

59.72%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99%

16.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65%

45.34%

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14%

24.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54%

59.46%

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 47.92%

ADO Den Haag 29.33%

Draw 22.75%

De Graafschap	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.72% Total : 47.92%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 7.06% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.33%