MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:27:20| >> :60:2433:2433:
Japan national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 5, 2023 at 9am UK
Westpac Stadium
Norway national football team

Japan Women
3 - 1
Norway Women

Syrstad Engen (15' og.), Shimizu (50'), Miyazawa (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reiten (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Norway Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Spain Women
Monday, July 31 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Norway Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Norway Women 6-0 Philippines W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We said: Japan Women 2-0 Norway Women

 Norway would have taken confidence from their comfortable win over the Philippines, but Japan will prove to be a much tougher test, and we think that the Asian side will produce another strong performance to book their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Norway Women had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Norway Women win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan WomenDrawNorway Women
68.08% (0.38800000000001 0.39) 18.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 13.26% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-1.002 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (-0.782 -0.78)40.74% (0.782 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87% (-0.805 -0.81)63.13% (0.805 0.81)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.03% (-0.119 -0.12)10.96% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.8% (-0.262 -0.26)35.2% (0.262 0.26)
Norway Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71% (-1.048 -1.05)42.29% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (-0.915 -0.91)78.68% (0.914 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 68.07%
    Norway Women 13.26%
    Draw 18.65%
Japan WomenDrawNorway Women
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.35% (0.175 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.61% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 68.07%
1-1 @ 8.82% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.65%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.26%

How you voted: 1st Group C vs 2nd Group A

1st Group C
76.7%
Draw
7.0%
2nd Group A
16.3%
43
rhs 2.0
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