MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:19:18| >> :60:1951:1951:
Japan national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium
Spain national football team

Japan Women
4 - 0
Spain Women

Miyazawa (12', 40'), Ueki (29'), Tanaka (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Carmona (45+1'), Hernandez Zurbano (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Spain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 2-0 Costa Rica Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Spain Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Spain Women 5-0 Zambia Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: Japan Women 1-3 Spain Women

 After claiming maximum points in their opening two games, Japan and Spain will both enter Monday's contest in a positive mood, but we think that La Roja will have enough firepower to finish the group stage with another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan WomenDrawSpain Women
38.1% (0.36499999999999 0.36) 24.45% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 37.45% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 59.8% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (0.452 0.45)43.03% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (0.444 0.44)65.43% (-0.43899999999999 -0.44)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.386 0.39)22.51% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.57400000000001 0.57)56.07% (-0.569 -0.57)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)22.84% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)56.56% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 38.1%
    Spain Women 37.45%
    Draw 24.44%
Japan WomenDrawSpain Women
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.45%

How you voted: Japan Women vs Spain Women

Japan Women
31.7%
Draw
14.3%
Spain Women
54.0%
63
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2020 9.15pm
Regular Season
Spain Women
3-1
Japan Women
Putellas (8'), Garcia (48', 78')
Iwabuchi (44')
rhs 2.0
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