Brighton4 - 2Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women
Brighton produced a strong performance to beat Everton in their opening home game of the season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory in Saturday's clash with Aston Villa. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
29.95% ( 0.08) | 23.39% ( -0.11) | 46.66% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.84% ( 0.61) | 40.16% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.47% ( 0.62) | 62.53% ( -0.62) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.36) | 25.79% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.48) | 60.74% ( -0.47) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% ( 0.25) | 17.5% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% ( 0.43) | 48.01% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
2 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 20 | 18 |
3 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
5 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
6 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
7 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
8 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 5 |
9 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
10 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
11 | Everton WomenEverton | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
12 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2 |
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