MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:41:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
11 - 0
Aberystwyth

Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Rimmer (17'), Flint (57'), Arnison (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 New Saints
Saturday, November 19 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Pontypridd
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 89.86%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 11-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
89.86% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22) 7.55% (0.15 0.15) 2.59% (0.068 0.07)
Both teams to score 35.14% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.93% (-0.378 -0.38)28.06% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.17% (-0.472 -0.47)48.82% (0.472 0.47)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)3.79% (0.0931 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.82% (-0.304 -0.3)16.18% (0.304 0.3)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.53% (0.131 0.13)63.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.67% (0.0591 0.06)92.32% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 89.84%
    Aberystwyth Town 2.59%
    Draw 7.55%
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
3-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 12.87% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 11.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.118 0.12)
5-0 @ 7.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 4.11% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 89.84%
1-1 @ 3.58% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 1.33% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 7.55%
0-1 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 2.59%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
3-0
Aberystwyth
McManus (7' pen., 43'), Astles (64')
Routledge (33'), Davies (62'), Williams (74'), Harrison (83')

Davies (66'), Evans (79'), Franklin (82'), Veale (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
New Saints
4-1
Aberystwyth
Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Hewitt (34')
Evans (25'), J (55'), Davies (61')
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
New Saints
Falingo (63'), Davies (71')
Davies (45+1')
Robles (37'), Clark (83')
Holland (45+1'), Hudson (45+1'), (90+1')
Holland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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