Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.