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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
2 - 3
Connah's Quay

Cumming (28'), Akpan (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (37'), Franklin (52'), Wilde (78')
Edwards (13'), Nash (26'), Morris (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.15% (-0.464 -0.46) 21.92% (0.141 0.14) 53.93% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.19% (-1.075 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-1.172 -1.17)37.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-1.263 -1.26)60.17% (1.259 1.26)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.999 -1)28.75% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-1.262 -1.26)64.59% (1.26 1.26)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (-0.303 -0.3)14.12% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (-0.591 -0.59)41.77% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 24.15%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 53.93%
    Draw 21.92%
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
2-1
Colwyn Bay
Davies (60'), Bratley (70')
Disney (20')
Akpan (64')
Holmes (59'), Downes (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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