Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.