Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 82.68%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Druids had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.