Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
