Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newtown AFC in this match.