Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.