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Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Penarol
2 - 0
Liverpool

Fernandez (40'), Darias (88')
Suarez (37'), Garcia (63'), Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (37'), Amaro (38'), Rodriguez (51'), Tabo (65'), Wasilewsky (73')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Progreso
Sunday, November 3 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawLiverpool
58.21% (-1.144 -1.14) 25.57% (0.565 0.57) 16.22% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 38.52% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.1% (-1 -1)61.9% (1 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.33% (-0.745 -0.75)81.66% (0.744 0.74)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.866 -0.87)21.44% (0.865 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-1.349 -1.35)54.46% (1.349 1.35)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.03% (0.191 0.19)50.97% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.68% (0.129 0.13)85.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 58.19%
    Liverpool 16.22%
    Draw 25.57%
PenarolDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 16.82% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 10.92% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 16.22%

Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Liverpool
2-2
Penarol
Amaro (10'), Rosso (16')
Martinez (27'), Alfaro (42'), Garcia (67'), Ocampo (67'), Rodriguez (75'), Milans (90+3')
Amaro (90+1')
Sequeira (8'), Silvera (90')
Rodriguez (20'), Garcia (31'), Coelho (60'), Milans (90+5')
Amaro (94+1')
Dec 16, 2023 10pm
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Hernandez (51'), Arezo (54'), Mayada (90+2'), Hernandez (90+5')
Bentancourt (25')
Bentancourt (43'), Samudio (52'), Barrios (66')
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Liverpool
2-0
Penarol
Vecino (70'), Bentancourt (81')
Meli (25'), Antoni (31'), Bentancourt (90+1'), Andueza (90+3')
Napoli (66')

Olivera (11'), Rodriguez (21')
Gonzalez (64')
Dec 9, 2023 10.30pm
Liverpool
0-1
Penarol

Izquierdo (33'), Bentancourt (90+2')
Rivero (90')
Hernandez (120')
Rodriguez (33'), Olivera (75'), Hernandez (83'), Menosse (107')
Nov 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Cristoforo (12'), Menosse (31'), Arezo (63'), Coelho (85')
Vecino (26')
Medina (25'), Vecino (27'), Siles (62'), Andueza (86'), Meli (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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