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Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Penarol

Botafogo
vs.
Penarol

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Penarol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma
Saturday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, October 19 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Penarol has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Penarol win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result
BotafogoDrawPenarol
63.14% (1.313 1.31) 22.28% (-0.653 -0.65) 14.58% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 43.5% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (1.283 1.28)53.19% (-1.286 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (1.078 1.08)74.75% (-1.081 -1.08)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.901 0.9)16.32% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (1.612 1.61)45.89% (-1.615 -1.62)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.98% (-0.179 -0.18)48.02% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75% (-0.131 -0.13)83.24% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 63.13%
    Penarol 14.58%
    Draw 22.28%
BotafogoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 14.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 12.87% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.198 0.2)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.24 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.13%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.404 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.327 -0.33)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.58%

Who will win Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Penarol?

Botafogo
Draw
Penarol
Botafogo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Penarol
0.0%
1
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool87011531221
2Manchester CityMan City86201991020
3Arsenal8521158717
4Aston Villa85211510517
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton84311410415
6Chelsea84221710714
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs8413189913
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle833288012
9Fulham83231111011
10Bournemouth83231010011
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd832379-211
12Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
13Brentford83141415-110
14Leicester CityLeicester82331214-29
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham82241115-48
16Everton8224915-68
17Ipswich TownIpswich8044616-104
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton8017618-121
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves80171023-131


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