MX23RW : Monday, December 30 17:20:04| >> :600:2748344:2748344:
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Botafogo logo

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Botafogo

Calleri (87')
Bobadilla (53'), Nestor (79'), Marcal (90+2'), Vinicius (90+7'), Rafinha (90+2'), Rafinha (90+2')
Rafinha (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Almada (15')
Barboza (45+2'), John (49')
Botafogo win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Internacional
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo
Saturday, September 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 0-1 Botafogo (Botafogo advances 1-0 on aggregate)

Fogo have won countless one-goal games in the Brazilian top-flight this season, and we trust their consistency against Brasileiro opposition will continue in midweek and carry them into the final four of this tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
45.65% (-0.218 -0.22) 27.6% (0.334 0.33) 26.75% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.986 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.75% (-1.223 -1.22)59.25% (1.222 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.34% (-0.952 -0.95)79.66% (0.953 0.95)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)25.93% (0.662 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.903 -0.9)60.93% (0.905 0.91)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.771 -0.77)38.15% (0.771 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.751 -0.75)74.91% (0.752 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 45.64%
    Botafogo 26.75%
    Draw 27.59%
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.35% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.89% (0.448 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Botafogo

Sao Paulo
32.0%
Draw
32.0%
Botafogo
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Botafogo
0-0
Sao Paulo
Henrique (30'), Bastos (72')
Rafinha (82'), Arboleda (90+4')
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Sao Paulo
0-0
Botafogo
Luciano (50'), Welington (53'), Diego (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3')
Di Placido (2'), Tche (61')
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Botafogo
2-1
Sao Paulo
Tiquinho (4'), Eduardo (88')
Calleri (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea18105338211735
5Manchester CityMan City199463226631
6Bournemouth198652923630
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1913151239-276


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!