Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
31.55% ( 2.29) | 27.75% ( -0.64) | 40.7% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( 2.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
