Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional4 - 1Plaza Colonia
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
68.96% ( 0.06) | 20.54% ( -0.03) | 10.49% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 37.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
