MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 07:41:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Luzern

Basel
2 - 3
Luzern

Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
64.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 19.35% (-0.096 -0.1) 16.12% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.48 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.26% (0.56 0.56)37.74% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02% (0.59800000000001 0.6)59.98% (-0.596 -0.6)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (0.17399999999999 0.17)11.03% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.65% (0.379 0.38)35.35% (-0.377 -0.38)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (0.417 0.42)36.5% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.42 0.42)73.29% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Basel 64.53%
    Luzern 16.12%
    Draw 19.35%
BaselDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 64.53%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.12%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Luzern
0-2
Basel

Simani (3')
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')
Oct 3, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Stocker (68')
Frei (64'), Comert (90')
Wehrmann (78')
Sorgic (34'), Schulz (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano199553226632
2Basel1994642212131
3Lausanne SportLausanne199463122931
4Luzern198653330330
5Servette198653028230
6FC Zurich198652525030
7St GallenSt Gallen196853024626
8Sion197572522326
9Young Boys196672529-424
10Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper194691827-918
11Yverdon Sport1945101629-1317
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1935111640-2414


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