We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
Time is running out for Rizespor should they wish to maintain their position in Turkey's top-flight.
Within touching distance of bottom spot, the wins need to start flowing fast for Rizespor, but it is unlikely that they will come against an equally desperate Kasimpasa side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.