Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Roma |
17.22% | 20.41% | 62.37% |
Both teams to score 55.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.41% | 40.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% | 62.97% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% | 36.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% | 12.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% | 38.42% |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 4.76% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.22% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.41% | 0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.79% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.61% Total : 62.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |