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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Roma logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Roma

Callejon (55'), Insigne (82')
Demme (7'), Koulibaly (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mkhitaryan (60')
Pellegrini (10'), Mancini (65'), Veretout (75'), Cristante (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawRoma
45.9%24.25%29.86%
Both teams to score 58.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82%44.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44%66.56%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6%19.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79%51.21%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 45.9%
    Roma 29.86%
    Draw 24.24%
NapoliDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-1 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Napoli
Mar 31, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 29
Roma
1-4
Napoli
Perotti (45' pen.)
Schick (13'), Manolas (37'), Dzeko (37'), Kolarov (66')
Milik (2'), Mertens (50'), Verdi (55'), Younes (81')
Maksimovic (17'), Milik (43')
Oct 28, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Mertens (90')
El Shaarawy (14')
Dzeko (55'), N'Zonzi (58'), Manolas (68'), Olsen (80'), Pellegrini (80')
Mar 3, 2018 7.45pm
Napoli
2-4
Roma
Insigne (6'), Mertens (90')
Mertens (55')
Under (7'), Dzeko (26', 73'), Perotti (79')
Fazio (55'), Dzeko (86')
Oct 14, 2017 7.45pm
Roma
0-1
Napoli

De Rossi (53'), Fazio (79')
Insigne (20')
Jorginho (43'), Ghoulam (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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