Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
25.93% | 24.04% | 50.03% |
Both teams to score 55.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.09% | 45.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.78% | 68.22% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% | 31.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% | 68.03% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% | 18.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% | 49.55% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |