Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
