Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
We said: Sampdoria 1-0 Bologna
Samp have scored in just one of their last six games, while Bologna have hardly been prolific during 2023 to date. A close contest is to be expected, then, but it could finally be the day that the Blucerchiati faithful see their unstinting support rewarded with maximum points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.42% . A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.54%) . The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result Sampdoria Draw Bologna 31.64% ( -0.06) 26.94% ( -0.02) 41.42% ( 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.04)
45.16% ( 0.06) 54.84% ( -0.05)
23.86% ( 0.05) 76.14% ( -0.05)
67.97% ( -0.01) 32.03% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.5% ( -0.02) 68.49% ( 0.02)
73.91% ( 0.07) 26.09% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.85% ( 0.09) 61.14% ( -0.09)
Sampdoria 31.64%
Bologna 41.41%
Draw 26.94%
Sampdoria Draw Bologna 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.64% 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.94% 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.41%
How you voted: Sampdoria vs Bologna
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rhs 2.0
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