Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Lazio |
34.58% ( 0.22) | 27.27% ( 0.13) | 38.14% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% ( -0.47) | 55.55% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( -0.39) | 76.72% ( 0.39) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% ( -0.1) | 30.41% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% ( -0.12) | 66.62% ( 0.11) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% ( -0.42) | 28.24% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% ( -0.54) | 63.95% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |