Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 1Empoli
We said: Lazio 1-0 Empoli
With a rejuvenated attack this season, Lazio have both scored and conceded goals in all of their six Serie A matches, so Empoli's clean-sheet streak should end on Sunday. The hosts have built up a head of steam over the past couple of weeks, and only post-Europa League fatigue could stop them from taking care of business. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
62.32% ( 0.44) | 22.18% ( -0.18) | 15.5% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
