Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Stirling Albion win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Stirling Albion |
62.51% ( -0.07) | 20.86% ( 0.04) | 16.63% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% ( -0.09) | 43.73% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.09) | 66.12% ( 0.09) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.59% ( -0.05) | 13.4% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.66% ( -0.1) | 40.34% ( 0.11) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.46% ( -0.01) | 39.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.77% ( -0) | 76.22% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Stirling Albion |
2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 62.5% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 16.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |