Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Stirling Albion |
41.42% ( -4.34) | 23.87% ( 0.21) | 34.71% ( 4.13) |
Both teams to score 61.57% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% ( 0.49) | 40.57% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% ( 0.5) | 62.96% ( -0.5) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% ( -1.64) | 19.86% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.04% ( -2.73) | 51.95% ( 2.73) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( 2.67) | 23.17% ( -2.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.94% ( 3.75) | 57.05% ( -3.75) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Stirling Albion |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.81) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.34) Other @ 3.11% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.61) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.57) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.45) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |