Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Montrose |
41.46% ( 0.18) | 24.31% ( -0.04) | 34.22% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( 0.16) | 42.81% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( 0.16) | 65.21% ( -0.16) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( 0.16) | 20.78% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( 0.24) | 53.43% ( -0.24) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( -0) | 24.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( -0) | 58.94% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |