Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
19.37% ( -0.06) | 20.58% ( -0.06) | 60.04% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.2% ( 0.17) | 37.8% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.95% ( 0.19) | 60.05% ( -0.18) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% ( 0.05) | 32.94% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.48% ( 0.05) | 69.52% ( -0.05) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.74% ( 0.09) | 12.26% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.01% ( 0.18) | 37.99% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.37% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 60.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |