Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
