Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Akhmat Grozny1 - 0Orenburg
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Monday, December 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Monday, December 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Akron 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, November 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Saturday, November 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.
Result | ||
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Orenburg |
46.1% ( 1.77) | 25.63% ( 0.04) | 28.27% ( -1.81) |
Both teams to score 52.58% ( -1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.99% ( -1.06) | 51.01% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% ( -0.94) | 72.88% ( 0.94) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.37) | 22.11% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( 0.56) | 55.48% ( -0.55) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% ( -1.87) | 32.5% ( 1.87) |