Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Gorica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Varazdin
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
37.27% ( -7.44) | 27.21% ( 0.08) | 35.52% ( 7.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
