Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
63.39% | 21.02% | 15.59% |
Both teams to score 49.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% | 68.6% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% | 13.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% | 41.43% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.57% | 42.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.19% | 78.81% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.39% | 1-1 @ 10% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 5.08% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |