Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 1Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Arouca 3-1 SC Farense
The return of talisman Mujica will give the home side a huge boost for this game, especially if the striker returns in the same vein of form that saw him score eight in eight games before his injury. The visitors have struggled for victories in recent weeks and have only managed three away victories across the entire season, and we expect them to fail for their search for victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | SC Farense |
49.06% ( 0.21) | 23.53% ( -0.05) | 27.41% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
