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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Farense logo

Braga
2 - 1
Farense

Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 SC Farense

 After a couple of underwhelming performances, this is a must-win situation for Braga to keep in touch with the European qualification places. Farense are certainly no push-over, but we fancy the hosts to pull off a home win here, albeit that it may be a slender one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawSC Farense
72.96% (-1.715 -1.72) 16.08% (0.478 0.48) 10.96% (1.2351 1.24)
Both teams to score 53.38% (3.14 3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.55% (1.567 1.57)34.45% (-1.569 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.63% (1.743 1.74)56.37% (-1.745 -1.75)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)8.17% (-0.0078999999999994 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.13% (3.414 3.41)41.87% (-3.416 -3.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68% (2.837 2.84)78.32% (-2.84 -2.84)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.95%
    SC Farense 10.96%
    Draw 16.08%
BragaDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.72% (-0.88 -0.88)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.96% (-0.729 -0.73)
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.703 -0.7)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 5.61% (-0.455 -0.46)
4-1 @ 4.89% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.356 0.36)
5-0 @ 2.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
5-1 @ 2.45% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.223 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.112 0.11)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.425 0.43)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.08%
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.338 0.34)
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 0.94% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Farense

Braga
81.8%
Draw
13.6%
SC Farense
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
3-1
Braga
Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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