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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
36.63% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.23% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.104 0.1)46.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)68.63% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.107 0.11)23.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.152 0.15)58.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.63%
    Leicester City 38.23%
    Draw 25.15%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
17.4%
Draw
19.9%
Leicester City
62.7%
161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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