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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Leicester logo

Burnley
0 - 2
Leicester


Weghorst (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maddison (82'), Vardy (90')
Dewsbury-Hall (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burnley 0-2 Leicester City

With Leicester hoping to be boosted by several major returns from injury, a Burnley side lacking a proper presence up top will surely fall short again once more. The Clarets have their own COVID-19 cluster to worry about, and confidence will not exactly be high after bowing out of the FA Cup to lower-league opposition, so a win and clean sheet should be on the menu for Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
29.21%24.8%45.99%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.8%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 29.21%
    Leicester City 45.99%
    Draw 24.79%
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.99%

How you voted: Burnley vs Leicester

Burnley
30.7%
Draw
22.5%
Leicester City
46.8%
342
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Vardy (37', 85')
Vestergaard (6'), Barnes (77')
Vardy (12' og.), Cornet (40')
Cornet (45+1'), Westwood (60'), Berg Gudmundsson (68'), Tarkowski (90')
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 29
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Vydra (4')
Iheanacho (34')
Fofana (79'), Pereira (90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 2
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Barnes (20'), Pieters (50' og.), Justin (61'), Praet (79')
Mendy (25')
Wood (10'), Dunne (73')
Rodriguez (8'), Bardsley (90+1')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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