MX23RW : Monday, December 23 09:32:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
0 - 2
Jagiellonia


Caliskaner (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romanczuk (4'), Normann Hansen (50')
Romanczuk (45+1'), Sacek (66'), Dieguez (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.1% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.88% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46% (0.050999999999995 0.05)48.54% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (0.044999999999998 0.04)70.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)32.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.048000000000002 0.05)69.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 49.1%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.19%
    Draw 24.7%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia

Motor Lublin
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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