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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Aldershot Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Aldershot

Mullin (28'), Jones (38')
McFadzean (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amaluzor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-0 Aldershot Town

 Wrexham are looking for one thing only this season, and that is promotion, which is why a match like this will be seen as must win. The attacking qualities of the Welsh club should prove to be far too much for Aldershot Town here, and Parkinson's men will secure a comfortable three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
80.78% (0.307 0.31) 12.1% (-0.216 -0.22) 7.11% (-0.095 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.508 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.57% (0.81099999999999 0.81)27.43% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.97% (1.014 1.01)48.03% (-1.019 -1.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (0.206 0.21)5.16% (-0.2111 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (0.616 0.62)20.47% (-0.62 -0.62)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (0.415 0.41)44.78% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (0.331 0.33)80.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 80.78%
    Aldershot Town 7.11%
    Draw 12.1%
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 10.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 5.97% (0.098 0.1)
5-0 @ 4.4% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 3.54% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.067 0.07)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.068 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.75% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.059 0.06)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 80.78%
1-1 @ 5.51% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.1%
1-2 @ 2.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 7.11%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Aldershot

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Aldershot Town
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-1
Aldershot
Mullin (35', 68'), Davies (49'), Palmer (57')
Young (61')
Phillips (90+2')
Daniel (42')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aldershot
0-5
Wrexham

Andrews (20'), Wagstaff (33'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (42')
Hayden (40'), Lennon (43'), Hall-Johnson (58'), Ponticelli (61'), Davies (68')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Aldershot
3-0
Wrexham
Nouble (26', 47'), Anderson (68')
Rees (45+3'), Colombie (77'), Panayiotou (84')

Hall-Johnson (39'), Reckord (45+1')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Aldershot
Young (64')

Phillips (45+1'), Edser (50')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
Aldershot
Hooper (90')
Jennings (56'), Redmond (90')
Chislett (63'), Bettamer (69')
Powell (54'), Lyons-Foster (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312
> National League Full Table


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