Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.