Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.