Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.