Hartlepool

2 - 1

Oxford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.