Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.