Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.